Random Market News, 31
August 2017
"At $1 trillion, largest sovereign wealth fund loses taste for new
asset classes.
The world's biggest sovereign fund says expanding into new asset classes is
now hardly worth the effort.
That means the opportunities for raising returns that Norway's wealth fund
once saw in infrastructure and private equity (and spent years trying to get
political approval to buy) no longer exist, according to CEO Yngve Slyngstad.
"Today we're close to $1 trillion. Realistically speaking, whether we
should invest in infrastructure, private equity or the likes isn't a very
important question for the fund," Mr. Slyngstad said in an Aug. 29
interview at his office in Oslo. "It would be such a small proportion, and
the duration of implementation would be so long, that if it were to have an
impact on returns, it would in reality be if the fund was going down in
size.""
"Bad debts still mount at China's big four banks.
Aggregate loan-loss allowance up 7% as soured loans top $118bn."
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Bad-debts-still-mount-at-China-s-big-four-banks
Nice summary table here that
shows ~1.7% NPL ratio.
Average EM NPL ratio (ex-China) was
~6.5% in 2016.
Applying that rate would suggest ~CNY
3tr NPL at the 4 banks, or ~4% of GDP.
https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/GFSR/2017/April/chapter-1/text.ashx
(pg. 21)
"Canon adding new camera plant as production returns to Japan.
Automation makes manufacturing at home more competitive.
This relocation trend has taken off over the past three years. While Canon
initially moved production of goods such as cameras abroad to soften the blow
of a strong yen, labor costs are now rising elsewhere in Asia and overseas.
Factory automation, meanwhile, has made production in Japan more affordable. At
a key plant in Oita Prefecture, the manufacture of some products is now more
than 70% automated. Various business units are experimenting with automated
production of office machinery and other equipment as well."
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Trends/Canon-adding-new-camera-plant-as-production-returns-to-Japan
Labor is typically <10% of
total cost for high tech manufacturing.
"Betting On Brick-And-Mortar: Alibaba's Billion-Dollar Retail Experiment.
One the past two years, Alibaba has invested as much as $8 billion in
brick-and-mortar retailing, acquiring stakes in local supermarket chains while
privatizing Chinese luxury mall Intime for $2.6 billion in January. The $392
billion company -- which centers on an online marketplace connecting sellers
with buyers (but doesn’t hold its own inventories) -- is going so far as
rewriting this asset-light model by opening supermarkets under the Hema
Xiansheng brand in China’s biggest cities. Customers can browse aisles of local
and imported food in these spacious outlets, or have fresh seafood cooked for
dine-in meals on the spot."
"Toyota Grabs Bigger Piece of Ride-Hailing Action.
The Japanese auto giant will install tracking devices on Grab vehicles to
gather data on driver behavior.
Toyota Motor Corp. TM 0.61% said Wednesday it plans to dive deeper into the
ride-hailing business by teaming up with Singapore-based startup Grab Inc.
Separately, Toyota Group company Toyota Tsusho Corp. said it would invest
an undisclosed amount in Grab as part of a $2.5 billion fundraising round
announced in July."
https://www.wsj.com/articles/toyota-grabs-bigger-piece-of-ride-hailing-action-1504072197
"Fund managers abandon MiFID II in shift to AIFMD.
A handful of hedge fund managers have dropped their MiFID (Markets in
Financial Instruments Directive) licenses, and instead secured AIFMD
(Alternative Investment Fund Manager Directive) licenses, in what has raised
some industry eyebrows.
The move is quite ironic given that many hedge funds back in 2009 and 2010
invested enormous amounts of energy and accrued significant legal bills trying
to figure out elaborate mechanisms by which to avoid AIFMD. However, this
latest decision is more borne out of hedge fund hostility to the incoming
second MiFID than in any newfound appreciation for AIFMD."
"eVestment: Traditional managers see $7.9 billion in net outflows in
Q2.
Figures by data provider eVestment in its quarterly "Traditional Asset
Flows Report" said money managers reported long-only institutional assets
under management of $25.3 trillion as of June 30, up 4.1% from a year earlier."
"The New Wave of Activists.
As a flood of passive investments continues to concentrate assets among a
small number of giant asset managers, these institutional shareholders are
taking an increasingly large role in corporate governance."
"Vanguard Increases Proxy Engagement.
The ETF and index fund manager is increasingly stepping into a more
aggressive role at companies in which it invests.
The asset manager engaged with 954 companies this year, jumping 39 percent
from 685 companies in 2015, according to the firm’s Investment Stewardship 2017
Annual Report released Thursday."
"Turner Investments Kills Troubled Funds, Pivots to ETFs.
Down from $30 billion in assets to $150 million, the firm is closing its
fundamental growth products and has purchased ETF specialist Elkhorn Capital."
Data dump.
VIX ~10.50. 10-yr treasury volatility (TYVIX) ~4.14.
http://www.cboe.com/products/vix-index-volatility/volatility-on-interest-rates
10yr Sovereigns.
https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/government-bond-spreads
https://tradingeconomics.com/bonds
FX.
https://www.investing.com/currencies/streaming-forex-rates-majors
https://tradingeconomics.com/currencies
Equity.
https://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
https://tradingeconomics.com/stocks
Commodities.
https://www.investing.com/commodities/real-time-futures
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodities
News feed.
"US Stocks
Close Higher on Thursday
Wall Street
closed in the green on Thursday August 31th of 2017, as geopolitical
uncertainty continued to diminish and upbeat economic data buoyed investors’
confidence on the growth outlook. The Dow Jones gained 60 points or 0.3% to
21952. The S&P 500 advanced 16 points or 0.6% to 2473. The Nasdaq jumped 60
points or 1.0% to 6429.
Canada GDP
Growth at Near 6-Year High in Q2
The Canadian
economy expanded 1.1 percent on quarter in the three months to June of 2017,
following a 0.9 percent growth in the previous period, mainly boosted by
household consumption and exports of goods. The cumulative growth for the first
two quarters of the year was 2 percent, the strongest since 2002. Expressed at
an annualized rate, real GDP rose 4.5 percent in the second quarter, above 3.7
percent in the previous period and market expectations of 3.7 percent. It is
the strongest growth rate since the third quarter of 2011.
Brazil Consumer
Confidence Improves In August
Brazilian
consumer confidence rose to 101.6 in August 2017 from 99.5 in the previous
month. It is the strongest reading since April, as consumers are more upbeat
about financial situation, less indebted and more likely to do major purchases.
Also, expectations improved regarding unemployment and personal income.
Meanwhile, worries about inflation increased.
Eurozone August
Inflation Rate Stronger than Expected
Consumer prices
in the Euro Area are expected to increase by 1.5 percent year-on-year in August
2017, beating market expectations of 1.4 percent and following a 1.3 percent
gain in the previous month, the flash estimate showed. It was the highest
inflation rate since April, mainly boosted by rising energy prices. Annual core
inflation, which excludes volatile prices of energy and unprocessed food and
tobacco and at which the ECB looks in its policy decisions, was unchanged at
1.2 percent.
Botswana Trade
Surplus Narrows 72% YoY in May
Botswana
recorded a trade surplus of 1134.5 million in May of 2017, well below a BWP
4099 million surplus a year earlier. Exports slumped 38.9 percent year-on-year
to BWP 5381.7 million, dragged down mainly by lower sales of diamonds (-37.2
percent) and copper and nickel (-97.5 percent). Imports declined at a much
slower 9.9 percent to BWP 4247.3 million, due to a fall in purchases of fuel
(-37.2 percent) and machinery and electrical equipment (-38 percent).
India GDP
Growth at Over 3-Year Low of 5.7% in Q2
The Indian
economy expanded 5.7 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2017, below
6.1 percent in the previous period and market expectations of 6.6 percent. It
remains the weakest growth rate since the first quarter of 2014 due to a
slowdown in consumer spending and exports. On the production side,
manufacturing and agriculture eased. Figures for the second quarter of 2017
mark the third consecutive period of slowing growth, following the
demonetization program started in November of 2016 that removed 86 percent of
India's currency in circulation.
Thailand
Manufacturing PMI Lowest in 9 Months
The Nikkei
Manufacturing PMI in Thailand edged down to 49.5 in August of 2017 from 49.6 in
July. It was the second straight month of decline in manufacturing activity and
the weakest reading since November 2016, as output, new orders and employment
declined at faster paces. Meantime, new export orders rose the most in 16
months. On the price front, the sustained appreciation of the baht tempered
inflationary pressures. At the same time, firms were not optimistic about the
business outlook for the first time since the survey began in December 2015.
Vietnam Factory
Activity Edges Up in August
The Nikkei
Manufacturing PMI in Vietnam edged up to 51.8 in August of 2017 from 51.7 in
July. Factory activity increased for twenty-one straight months as output and
new orders accelerated slightly. New export orders rose to its fastest in 4
months and new order growth led to the tenth straight month of increase in
manufacturing production. Employment continued to improve albeit the slowest in
seventeen months. On the price front, there was a marked increase in input
costs and companies reduced their output prices for the fourth straight month.
Meanwhile, business sentiment rose to 5-month high.
Chinese Yuan
Hits 14-month High
USDCNY
decreased to a 14-month low of 6.5826.
Australian AIG
Manufacturing Index Hits 7-Year High in August
The AIG/Housing
Industry Association Performance of Manufacturing Index in Australia increased
to 59.8 in August of 2017 from 56 in the previous month. It was the eleventh
straight month of expansion in factory and highest since May 2010 as six of the
seven activity sub-indexes expanded. Most rose at a faster pace: production
(61.4 from 59 in July), new orders (64.3 from 55.8) and inventories (58.9 from
49). In addition, employment, deliveries and sales moderated, while exports
moved into contraction. This month's survey suggested that current activity is
geared towards future orders and stockpiling rather than for immediate
delivery.
South Korea GDP
Expands 2.7% YoY in 2Q Final Estimate
The South
Korean economy expanded 2.7 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2017
according to the final estimate, consistent with the figure given in the
advanced estimates and matching estimates of a 2.7 percent expansion and below
2.9 percent growth in the previous quarter. The slower GDP growth was mainly
explained by manufacturing and construction, which expanded at a softer pace
versus Q1. On the expenditure side, exports remained unchanged and imports lost
steam, offsetting faster growth in both private and public consumption.
Nikkei 225
Bounces Back on Thursday
Tokyo's Nikkei
225 advanced 140 points, or 0.7 percent, to 19,646 on Thursday 31st of August
as the Yen weakened and the US Dollar staged a recovery, following upbeat
economic data yesterday. Automotives and financials lifted the index, while
weaker than expected industrial output data was shrugged off. Daiichi Sankyo
was the top performer (+5.3 percent), followed by JFE Holdings (+3.4 percent).
The broader Topix added up 9.2 points, or 0.6 percent, to 1520.
Japan 10Y Bond
Yield Hits 41-week Low
Japan 10 Year
Government Bond Yield decreased to a 41-week low of 0.003%."
https://tradingeconomics.com/stream
http://www.marketwatch.com/newsviewer#
https://global.handelsblatt.com/
"Harvey Impedes Nearly 10% of U.S. Trucking,
Almost 100% on Gulf Coast."
http://www.ttnews.com/articles/harvey-impedes-nearly-10-us-trucking-almost-100-gulf-coast
"26th Annual Study of Logistics and
Transportation Trends: Transportation at Digital Speed.
While a majority of companies strongly agree that
transportation is a strategically important function, a significant percentage
of them have not organizationally aligned transportation in a manner that
supports their goals.
In fact, results from the 2017 study show that roughly
75% of respondents are using the mix strategy (be all things to all people) as
the predominant approach for their companies compared to the 51% who we
reported utilizing a mix strategy in our 2016 results."
"Blockchain Group Formed to Advance Use of
Digital Ledger.
“In trucking, knowing whoever touched the transaction
or did something is much more powerful than knowing the transaction took
place,” Craig Fuller, CEO of TransRisk and co-founder of the newly formed
Blockchain in Trucking Alliance, told Transport Topics.
BiTA was formed to develop common standards around
blockchain applications in the trucking industry, Fuller said. Since a
blockchain is an intersection of transactions, “passing off transactions
between multiple sources requires common standards.”
Charter members of BiTA include: Convoy, PS Logistics,
US Xpress, McLeod Software, TransRisk, Triumph Business Capital and 10-4
Systems Inc., according to BiTA. Another 70 or so companies have expressed
strong interest in joining, Fuller said."
http://www.ttnews.com/articles/blockchain-group-formed-advance-use-digital-ledger
"Improving 3PL Management: Glanbia Adds Muscle to
Logistics.
In an award-winning collaboration effort with a 3PL
and TL partner, this global performance nutrition company has drastically
reduced costs—all while improving service through and innovative “embedded”
arrangement."
http://www.logisticsmgmt.com/article/improving_3pl_management_glanbia_adds_muscle_to_logistics
"Healthy demand stabilises container shipping
spot rates.
An improving demand scenario over the first half of
2017 in the container shipping industry is helping to stabilise freight rates
so far this year, says BIMCO.
The rates “may still be at a loss-making level now and
so spot rates are not the best indicator for market profitability”.
BIMCO says the China Containerised Freight Index may
provide a more realistic indication of industry conditions. The index touched a
record low of 632.36 on April 29 last year and recovered to 859.5 on August 11
this year. From a year-to-date perspective, the index rose 20.7% compared with
the year-ago period."
"Court approves Bolloré partial takeover of
Necotrans.
Bid focuses on port terminals in West and Central
Africa, but is part of a larger joint offer ‘to secure a very large part’ of
rival’s business and assets.
A Paris commercial court has approved a partial
takeover bid from Bolloré Transport & Logistics for embattled French
counterpart Necotrans, which was placed under judicial administration earlier
this summer.
The family-owned group’s annual turnover slipped from
around €1 billion in 2015 to €830 million last year while debts have risen and
are estimated to be close to €200 million."
"US approves breakthrough gene therapy for childhood leukemia.
US regulators have approved a breakthrough treatment that genetically
engineers patients' own blood cells to fight childhood leukemia. Experts say it
may open the way to treating other cancers with a similar procedure."
http://www.dw.com/en/us-approves-breakthrough-gene-therapy-for-childhood-leukemia/a-40306660
"The first ICO unicorns are here.
Today both OmiseGO (OMG) and Qtum passed a $1 billion market cap today,
according to coinmarketcap.com, a site that
tracks the value of crypto tokens. In doing so, they became the first
ERC20 tokens — subtokens that are built on the Ethereum network and sold to
investors via an ICO — to pass the unicorn mark based on the total value of
coins that have been distributed.
Most incredibly, both have reached surpassed the landmark in mere
months."
https://techcrunch.com/2017/08/31/the-first-ico-unicorns-are-here/
"Is The E-Commerce Slump Finally Over?
After a lackluster 2016 — which saw three consecutive quarters of declining
deal activity — H1'17 has seen a resurgence in deals and funding to e-commerce
startups.
Despite the uptick in deals, last quarter also saw a decline in dollar
funding to $3.4B (down from $4.8B in Q1’17). However, this quarter (though not
yet finished) has already seen $4B+ in funding, due to huge $1B+ rounds to
Fanatics, Tokopedia, and Flipkart."
https://www.cbinsights.com/research/ecommerce-startups-deals-funding-stage/
"France seeks 600 mn in taxes from Microsoft: report.
France's tax authority is seeking 600 million euros ($715 million) from
Microsoft's local subsidiary for billing French customers from Ireland, the
weekly L'Express reported on Wednesday.
The magazine reported that the bills concerned internet advertising and
keywords for internet searches.
Despite a considerable presence in France, Microsoft paid only 32.2 million
euros in corporate tax there last year, according to L'Express."
https://phys.org/news/2017-08-france-mn-taxes-microsoft.html
"Google to Comply With EU Search Demands to Avoid More Fines.
EU gave Google until Tuesday to draw up shopping search plan.
Google risks daily fines if it doesn’t comply by Sept. 28.
The EU fined Google a record 2.4 billion euros ($2.7 billion) in late June
for breaking antitrust rules by skewing its general search results to unfairly
favor its own shopping service over rival sites."
"Yahoo must face litigation by data breach victims: U.S. judge.
A U.S. judge said Yahoo must face nationwide litigation brought on behalf
of well over 1 billion users who said their personal information was
compromised in three massive data breaches."
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-verizon-yahoo-breach-idUSKCN1BB25Q
"St. Louis forms $5 million seed fund to keep its startups in town."
https://venturebeat.com/2017/08/31/st-louis-forms-5-million-seed-fund-to-keep-its-startups-in-town/
"Eye Scans to Detect Cancer and Alzheimer’s Disease.
We recently reported on two AI systems trained to detect eye diseases,
specifically diabetic retinopathy and congenital cataracts. Now, we’ve found
groups extending that concept to illnesses beyond the eye. Two new projects
pair imaging systems with advanced software in an effort to catch early
symptoms of pancreatic cancer and Alzheimer’s disease."
"Quantum Optical Memory Device One Thousand Times Smaller Than
Previous Options.
The prospects for optical quantum networks—in which information is
transmitted by encoding data using the quantum state of photons—has been on the
upswing lately, leading to some commercial quantum photonics products currently
on the market.
However, optical quantum memory, which is one of the key technologies for
the realization of widespread, optical, quantum networks, remains a sticking
point. Optical quantum memory is a device that takes a photon and encodes it
with information. Unfortunately, the devices developed to date have been too
large and inefficient to operate in a chip-scale quantum device."
"Someone Else’s Computer: The Prehistory of Cloud Computing.
Well before Amazon Web Services, there was time-sharing and Tymshare’s
Tymnet.
The pioneering firm Tymshare produced the button shown above along with the
largest commercial computer network of its era. Called Tymnet, it spanned the
globe and was by the late 1970s larger than the ARPANET. Compare this schematic
of Tymnet, detailing all of its nodes, with the sparser schematics of the
ARPANET [PDF] from the same era. By 1975, Tymshare was handling about 450,000
interactive sessions per month.
In 1984, the company was acquired by McDonnell Douglas, and a few years
later the Tymnet network was sold off to British Telecom, continuing to operate
until 2004."
Startup/SME of the Day.
"BunkerEx.
The world's most transparent bunker broker.
We are completely free to use for buyers. A small and transparent fee is only taken from the supplier once the bunkers are delivered safely."
https://techcrunch.com/2017/08/29/bunkerex/
"Laerdal Tunnel.
Longest road tunnel in the world features an air treatment plant and the illusion of daylight.
Since it takes the average driver 20 minutes to travel through the tunnel, special design features were added in order to prevent drivers from falling asleep [and vertigo]."
http://www.atlasobscura.com/places/laerdal-tunnel
IN: PMI Manufacturing Index, 1:00 AM ET
CH: Adjusted real retail sales, 3:15 AM ET
CH: SVME Purchasing Managers' Index, 3:30 AM ET
FR: PMI Manufacturing Index, 3:50 AM ET
DE: PMI Manufacturing Index, 3:55 AM ET
EZ: PMI Manufacturing Index, 4:00 AM ET
IT: GDP, 4:00 AM ET
GB: CIPS/PMI Manufacturing Index, 4:30 AM ET
US: Employment Situation, 8:30 AM ET
US: PMI Manufacturing Index, 9:45 AM ET
US: ISM Mfg Index, 10:00 AM ET
US: Construction Spending, 10:00 AM ET
US: Consumer Sentiment, 10:00 AM ET
ALL: Global Manufacturing PMI, 11:00 AM ET
US: Baker-Hughes Rig Count, 1:00 PM ET
http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3063-globalEconomicCalendar.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/calendar (More complete listing, including consensus)