Random Market News, 16 August 2017


Market Info. 1

Logistics. 4

Tech. 5

Random.. 6

Events on 8/17 (ET) 6



Market Info


"The Trump administration will demand significant concessions from Canada and Mexico in the renegotiation of the North American free-trade agreement, including a requirement for cars and trucks made in the free-trade zone to have U.S. content."



"IA: AGM season shows investors 'holding business to account'.

Shareholders ramped up opposition to listed company pay proposals this year, according to the UK’s asset management trade body.

The Investment Association (IA) said data from the 2017 annual general meeting (AGM) season showed FTSE350 companies were responding to investor pressure to reduce executive remuneration.

Recent analysis from the CIPD and the High Pay Centre showed that UK chief executives’ average pay fell 17% in the past 12 months."




"Mortgages, Cars, Credit Cards Drive Household Debt Higher.

US household debt has surged more than 15% in just four years.

US aggregate household debt balances increased for the 12th consecutive quarter in Q2 to $12.84 trillion, a $114 billion (0.9%) increase from Q1, according to The Federal Reserve Bank of New York."



~3.2% 90+ days delinquency rate for total household debt in 2Q17. Down steadily from peak of ~8.7% in 1Q10.


"Trump signs order to speed infrastructure construction."




"GMO's James Montier Picks Emerging Markets in World Starved of Value.

Strategists tell investors to ‘Just Say No’ to U.S. equities.

Spread between EM and U.S. shares is in 90th percentile: GMO."



"Ratio of market caps to nominal GDPs."



"China Shows How Not to Sell $11.7 Billion in Shares.

China United retracts statement on share sale in Shanghai.

‘Confusion right to the very last moment,’ investor says."



"Eurozone growth smashes forecasts.

The economies of the 19 countries sharing the euro currency expanded by more than previously forecast, as a slew of positive data suggest that the recovery in the bloc is well on track."



Data dump.


VIX ~11.74. 10-yr treasury volatility (TYVIX) ~4.03.


Large TYVIX spike to ~6.4 at 2pm today.


Implied Fed rate hike/cut probability for September 20th is ~1.4%/0.0%, November 1st is ~7.3%/0.0%.



10yr Sovereigns.
















News feed.


"Fed Policymakers Divided Over Stimulus Unwind

Several Fed policymakers were prepared to announce a start date for the shrinking of the US central bank’s balance sheet at the latest rate-setting meeting, but most preferred to wait for additional information on the economic outlook and developments potentially affecting financial markets, minutes from last FOMC meeting showed.


Canada Foreign Stock Investment Shrinks in June

Foreigners sold CAD 923 Million of Canadian securities in June 2017, following a net acquisition of CAD 29.44 billion in the previous month and below market expectations of CAD 23.45 billion acquisition. Non-resident investors sold net CAD 2.58 billion of Canadian bonds of which they sold CAD 8.77 billion of government bonds and bought CAD 6.2 billion of money market instruments. Meantime, Canadian investors bought a net CAD 13.2 billion worth of foreign securities, led by foreign equity and investment fund shares, after purchasing a net CAD 4.3 billion in May.


Eurozone Q2 GDP Growth Confirmed at 0.6%

The Eurozone economy advanced 0.6 percent on quarter in the three months to June of 2017, in line with the preliminary estimate and following a 0.5 percent growth in the previous period. Among Eurozone's largest economies, GDP growth picked up in Spain; was unchanged in France and Italy; and slowed in Germany.


Dutch Jobless Rate Falls To 5-Year Low in July

Dutch seasonally adjusted unemployment declined to 4.8 percent in July of 2017 from 4.9 percent in the prior month. It was the lowest jobless rate since June 2011, as the number of unemployed went down by 10 thousand from a month earlier to 436 thousand while the number of employed rose 42 thousand to 8,636 thousand.


Senegal Industrial Production Drops 9.4% in June

Industrial output in Senegal contracted 9.4 percent year-on-year in June 2017, following a 3.3 percent growth in the previous month, due to lower production of paper and cardboard (-50.8 percent from -31.6 percent in May), food products (-35.9 percent from 13 percent) and machinery (-21.7 percent from -28.2 percent). In addition, mining output shrank 11.3 percent (-11.2 percent in May), while energy production grew 3.4 percent (12.3 percent in May).


Thailand Holds Key Rate Steady at 1.5%

The Bank of Thailand left its benchmark policy rate steady at 1.5 percent on August 16th 2017, in line with market expectations. Policymakers said the growth outlook improved due to a a recovery in exports while the domestic demand expansion was not yet sufficiently broad-based and inflation is expected to rise at a slightly slower pace than previously estimated.


Philippines Annual GDP Growth Beats Forecasts in Q2

The Philippines economy grew an annual 6.5 percent in the June quarter of 2017, following a 6.4 percent expansion in the previous quarter and below market consensus of a 6.2 percent growth. Private consumption and government spending both grew at a faster pace, while investment and exports slowed. For 2017, the economy is expected to advance between 6.5 to 7.5 percent. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted basis, the GDP expanded 1.7 percent in the second quarter 2017, compared to an upwardly revised 1.3 percent growth in the December quarter and above market expectations of a 1.6 percent growth.


KOSPI Continues Recovery On Wednesday

South Korea's KOSPI finished up 14 points, or 0.6 percent, to 2348 on Wednesday 16th of August, as tensions over the Korean Peninsula eased after president Moon Jae-In called for renewed talks with North Korea, emphasizing that the US would require his consent for any further military action. Foreigners also increased their buying activity of Korean equities this week. According to the Financial Supervisory Service, a total of 712.2 trillion won - 605.7 trillion Won in listed stocks, and 106.5 trillion Won in listed bonds were purchased by non-domestic investors in July. It was the first time that foreign Korean stock ownership exceeded 600 trillion Won. Technology and materials stocks boosted the index on Wednesday, with electronics giants Samsung jumping 2.7 percent and SK Hynix adding 1.6 percent.


Japan Trade Surplus Narrows 17% YoY in July

Japan's trade surplus fell 17.0 percent to JPY 418.77 billion in July of 2017 from JPY 504.53 billion in the same month a year earlier but above market consensus of a surplus of JPY 392.0 billion. Exports rose 13.4 percent from a year earlier to JPY 6,494.89 billion while imports increased by 16.3 percent to JPY 6,076.19 billion.


Stocks in New Zealand Hit All-time High

NZX 50 increased to an all-time high of 7855.


Wheat Hits 13-week Low

Wheat decreased to a 13-week low of 421 USD/Bu.


Corn Hits 31-week Low

Corn decreased to a 31-week low of 353 ¢USD/bu."









"Labor Rising On List Of Site Selection Concerns For Warehouse Users.

Access to skilled labor pools has become a primary factor among retail companies in search of new distribution centers. This need for qualified talent has ramped up costs for these companies as they compete for the same employees in markets across the country."



"PSA takes blockchain plunge with PIL and IBM.

PSA International, Pacific International Lines and IBM have signed a Memorandum of Understanding pledging to explore how best to implement blockchain technology in global supply chains."



"HMM looks north to Arctic passage.

South Korea’s largest ocean carrier is considering launching a regular liner service via the Arctic Sea, a move that could cut transits between Asia and Europe considerably.

The Northern Sea Route (NSR) provides the shortest maritime path between Asia and Europe, allowing shipments from Busan to Rotterdam that take 24 days to be shortened to 14 days. The NSR is currently available for just four months out of the year due to heavy ice conditions during the winter, but this could be potentially extended due to global warming."



"Transplace announces TPG is new equity partner.

Earlier this week, non asset-based third-party logistics (3PL) services provider Transplace said it has selected TPG Capital, the global private equity platform of alternative asset firm TPG, as its new equity partner. Transplace officials said that TPG will acquire Transplace from Greenbriar Equity Group LLC, Transplace’s equity partner going back to May 2013, when it acquired.

Transplace was established in 2000 as a collaboration among six transportation carriers—J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Covenant Transport, Swift Transportation Co., M.S. Carriers Inc. (which subsequently merged with Swift), U.S. Xpress Enterprises, and Werner Enterprises. When the companies first joined together to establish Transplace, it was viewed as a way to bring shippers and carriers together through a Web-based platform to efficiently collaborate on transportation and logistics planning and execution."





"Newborn Unicorns: Meet The New Class Of $1B+ US Startups.

The first six months of 2017 saw the emergence of a dozen new VC-backed US unicorns, including rocket launch vehicles, health insurance companies, and at-home cycling services.

Last quarter, the US unicorn “birth rate” ticked up significantly as 9 new VC-backed companies reached $1B+ valuations (compared to only 3 companies in Q1’17), the highest quarterly total since the close of Q3’15, according to our Q2’17 Venture Capital Funding Report with PwC. All together, that means 12 US-based startups joined the global unicorn club in H1’17."



"Amazon expands program that pays Alexa developers for top-performing voice apps."



"How a Paraplegic User Commands This Exoskeleton: "Alexa, I'm Ready to Walk".

Bionik Labs’ ARKE is the latest robotic exoskeleton that enables paraplegic people to rise to their feet and walk using their paralyzed legs. And it’s the first to integrate the hardware with the Amazon Echo platform, allowing exoskeleton users to control the device with simple voice commands addressed to Amazon’s Alexa, the virtual assistant used in home automation."



"Scientists discover powerful potential pain reliever.

A team of scientists led by chemists Stephen Martin and James Sahn at The University of Texas at Austin have discovered what they say is a powerful pain reliever that acts on a previously unknown pain pathway. The synthetic compound, known as UKH-1114, is as effective at relieving neuropathic pain in injured mice as a drug widely used for pain relief called gabapentin, but it works at a much lower dose, with longer duration of action."



"Supervolcanoes: A key to America's electric future?

In a study published today in Nature Communications, scientists detail a new method for locating lithium in supervolcanic lake deposits. The findings represent an important step toward diversifying the supply of this valuable silvery-white metal, since lithium is an energy-critical strategic resource, said study co-author Gail Mahood, a professor of geological sciences at Stanford's School of Earth, Energy & Environmental Sciences.

Oregon's Crater Lake is a prime example. Over tens of thousands of years, rainfall and hot springs leach out lithium from the volcanic deposits. The lithium accumulates, along with sediments, in the caldera lake, where it becomes concentrated in a clay called hectorite."



Startup/SME of the Day.


"Besides maintaining superior wine quality, wine on tap in stainless steel kegs reduces the cost of traditional bottle packaging and transportation. By eliminating this packaging (bottles, corks, capsules, labels and cases), there is a lot less to ship and recycle, lowering the carbon footprint of the wine and hospitality industries."


Kegs for wine.




"World's biggest beaver dam can be seen from space.

This woodland construction is the world's biggest beaver dam, which at 2,790ft is more than twice the length of the Hoover dam and can be seen from space."



Events on 8/17 (ET)

France  FR: ILO Unemployment Rate, 1:30 AM ET

Great Britain  GB: Retail Sales, 4:30 AM ET

European Union  EZ: HICP, 5:00 AM ET

European Union  EZ: Merchandise Trade, 5:00 AM ET

European Union  EZ: ECB Minutes, 7:30 AM ET

USA  US: Jobless Claims, 8:30 AM ET

USA  US: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, 8:30 AM ET

Canada  CA: Manufacturing Sales, 8:30 AM ET

USA  US: Industrial Production, 9:15 AM ET

USA  US: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, 9:45 AM ET

USA  US: E-Commerce Retail Sales, 10:00 AM ET

USA  US: Leading Indicators, 10:00 AM ET

USA  US: EIA Natural Gas Report, 10:30 AM ET

USA  US: Fed Balance Sheet, 4:30 PM ET

USA  US: Money Supply, 4:30 PM ET

China  CN: House Price Index, 9:30 PM ET



https://tradingeconomics.com/calendar (More complete listing, including consensus)